Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.224430 0.253172 0.283602 0.318159 0.356252 0.396899 0.443489
2025-07-27 0.187075 0.226046 0.269689 0.321975 0.382691 0.450743 0.532548
2025-08-03 0.162349 0.208187 0.262051 0.329559 0.411404 0.506892 0.626157
2025-08-10 0.144259 0.195105 0.257461 0.338756 0.441049 0.564538 0.723823
2025-08-17 0.125322 0.178251 0.245817 0.337181 0.456122 0.604210 0.800805
2025-08-24 0.110521 0.164741 0.236563 0.336975 0.471763 0.644266 0.879179
2025-08-31 0.098008 0.152720 0.227758 0.335965 0.485374 0.681446 0.954667
2025-09-07 0.089945 0.145929 0.225164 0.342631 0.508927 0.732021 1.049194
2025-09-14 0.081130 0.137002 0.218562 0.342788 0.522953 0.769813 1.127541
2025-09-21 0.073557 0.129090 0.212589 0.343065 0.536635 0.807138 1.206127
2025-09-28 0.066970 0.121990 0.207106 0.343389 0.549958 0.844012 1.284959
2025-10-05 0.062199 0.117306 0.204832 0.348154 0.569683 0.890363 1.378450
2025-10-12 0.058589 0.114372 0.205305 0.357508 0.597278 0.950028 1.494662
2025-10-19 0.053975 0.109230 0.201768 0.360201 0.614690 0.995313 1.591554
2025-10-26 0.050714 0.106139 0.201314 0.367688 0.639726 1.052730 1.708221
2025-11-02 0.048116 0.103975 0.202201 0.377297 0.668396 1.116526 1.836435
2025-11-09 0.043870 0.098256 0.196446 0.375303 0.678120 1.151418 1.921831
2025-11-16 0.040299 0.093449 0.191882 0.374927 0.690254 1.190228 2.014210
2025-11-23 0.036963 0.088742 0.187088 0.373739 0.700785 1.226641 2.103761
2025-11-30 0.035044 0.086737 0.187107 0.380992 0.725718 1.286684 2.232017
2025-12-07 0.032403 0.082913 0.183364 0.381139 0.738344 1.327107 2.330182
2025-12-14 0.030012 0.079365 0.179856 0.381428 0.751082 1.367951 2.430027
2025-12-21 0.027834 0.076048 0.176524 0.381775 0.763803 1.409015 2.531231